How Reform would crush all before them if election was held tomorrow: Explosive megapoll shows Nigel Farage set for the biggest Commons majority EVER with Tories reduced to just SEVEN MPs and Labour ministers culled .

Nigel Farage is set for the biggest Commons majority in modern political history with the Tories reduced to just seven MPs, according to an explosive megapoll.

Reform UK is on course to win 445 seats – with Labour down to 73 MPs if an election was held tomorrow.

But tactical voting could block Mr Farage’s path to victory, with more than a third of Labour voters saying they would back the Tories to stop Reform.

The seat-by-seat MRP poll, shared exclusively with the Daily Mail, was carried out by communications firm PLMR with Electoral Calculus.

MRP (multilevel regression and post-stratification) is widely seen as a more accurate way to predict how many seats each party will win.

It forecast the Liberal Democrats are on course to win 42 seats, with the SNP set for 41 and Jeremy Corbyn’s Your Party on 13.

But the Tories came in sixth place with just seven MPs, narrowly ahead of the Greens on six, and Plaid Cymru on five.

The poll of 7,449 British adults took place from September 10 to 18 – before the party conference season. However, it will be a difficult read for many senior parliamentarians – with Reform set to scalp a number of senior Labour and Conservative figures.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves, Foreign Secretary Yvette Cooper, Education Secretary Bridget Phillipson and Energy Secretary Ed Miliband could all be ousted by Reform.

Shabana Mahmood and Wes Streeting could lose their seats to Your Party, the polling indicated.

Tory leader Kemi Badenoch could also be scalped by Reform, the poll found, along with Robert Jenrick, Suella Braverman, Rishi Sunak and Iain Duncan Smith.

With the country unlikely to go to the polls for another three years, the polling also found that the economy and cost of living are a top priority for voters who want action this autumn.

Some 59  per cent of voters said it was the most important issue, compared to 47 per cent who thought immigration and border control was a top priority for the Government to prioritise at the Budget next month.

The NHS came third on 44 per cent, well ahead of the next most important issue – crime, justice and policing on 22 per cent.

Kevin Craig, CEO of PLMR, said: ‘This poll shows a remarkable fall from grace for the Conservative Party, and exposes where voter priorities lie.

‘The electorate is demanding action on the economy first and foremost, with concerns around immigration and the NHS still present, and traditional party loyalties are under unprecedented pressure.

‘However, there is a long way to go until 2029 and the message is clear: voters want the weekly shop to cost less.

‘It’s time to forget the slogans and the clever language. Instead, the Government must keep calm and focus on delivering more money into working people’s pockets to shore up support ahead of the next election.’Martin Baxter, founder of Electoral Calculus, added: ‘This poll underscores just how volatile the political landscape has become.

‘There are two big changes at the moment, but they point in different directions. Anti-Reform tactical voting means Reform’s poll lead isn’t as good as it looks, as the party could lose dozens of seats because many voters will vote for any candidate without a light-blue rosette.

‘However, the emergence of “Your Party” further fragments the left-of-centre vote, and makes things easier for Reform UK and harder for Labour.

‘Ahead of the Autumn Budget coming in November, voters are making their priorities clear, placing the economy, immigration and the NHS at the top of the agenda.

‘Labour now faces a fight for votes, and their ability to act decisively and deliver on these priorities will determine whether the party can defend its leadership or risk falling further behind as Reform seeks to solidify its gains.’